Match Day 38
SPAL vs. AC Milan
Monday, May 27th 2019
03:30am (GMT+8 Timing)
Stadium: Stadio Paolo Mazza
Last five matches form: W D W L L
Average goals per match: 1.14
Average goals against per match: 1.43
Top Scorer: Andrea Petagna (16)
Last five matches form: D L W W W
Average goals per match: 1.41
Average goals against per match: 0.92
Top Scorer: Krzysztof Piątek (9)
AC Milan are still slightly up against it in the race for the Champion's League, but a run of three successive victories in Serie A has at least given them a chance headed into the final game of the season. Realistically they need to win this one and hope that either big rivals Inter Milan or Atalanta slip up at home in their last match.
Milan have a prefect three from three record against SPAL to date, including a 4-0 win in the game here last season and a 2-1 success in the reverse fixture in the current campaign.
SPAL look to have a fully fit squad from which to select for this one. Giacomo Bonaventura, Davide Calabria and Mattia Caldera are all out injured for Milan, whilst Lucas Paquetá is suspended.
SPAL have won five of eighteen at home this season, but have lost only one of their last five here. The goals have been hard to come by at times though with SPAL having scored more than once in only two of their last eleven here.
Milan have been solid on the road with six wins and seven draws from their eighteen fixtures to date, conceding more than once in only three of those games. With only three goals scored across their previous five on the road though, fans may be a little concerned as to where the goals will come from.
Motivation ought to be the telling factor here and we fancy Milan to at least give themselves a chance by toughing out an away win.
Prediction: SPAL 0 - 2 AC Milan
Half time: 1 - 2
Full time: 2 - 3
Shots: 10 - 19
Shots on target: 3 - 8
Corner Kicks: 8 - 4
Possession: 58% - 42%
Two bookings for each side in this one, with referee Paolo Valeri taking the names of Kevin Bonifazi and Thiago Cionek of the home side and Ignazio Abate and Tiemoue Bakayoko of Milan.
Milan started on the front foot here and made their early dominance pay in the 18th minute. Franck Kessie picking the ball up on the right and finding Hakan Calhanoglu just inside the area to the right-hand side. Fine first-time finish from Calhonoglu into the bottom left.
Five minutes later AC really took control of the game. Ricardo Rodriguez's low ball into the area from deep on the left deflecting into the path of Kessie around twelve yards out to the right hand side. Kessie taking a touch inside before thumping home into the top left corner.
SPAL then pulled one back in the 28th minute. Alessandro Murgia playing in a free kick from deep on the left and Francesco Vicari getting up around seven yards out at the near post and sending an excellent header into the top right. 1-2 at the break.
Eight minutes into the second half we were back on level terms. Thiago Cionek sending a cross into the area from deep on the right and Mohamed Fares powering a header into the right hand side from around eleven yards out in a central area.
Milan did manage to win it though. Krzysztof Piatek bundled over in the area as a cross came in from the right in the 66th minute and the referee pointing to the spot. Kessie stepping up to calmly slot into the bottom left. 2-3 final score.
They may have done what they needed to do in order to give themselves a chance, but in the end it wasn't quite enough. Most galling of all for AC Milan is the fact that it was a relatively late winner for big rivals Inter Milan which ultimately cost them their place in the Champion's League. AC finish fifth in the end, and only one point behind fourth placed Inter. Decent season for SPAL who finish in 13th.