Preview - Mainz 05 vs RasenBallsport Leipzig 28 April 2018

Started by Harry85, Apr 28, 2018, 07:01 AM

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Apr 28, 2018, 07:01 AM Last Edit: Apr 28, 2018, 08:48 PM by Harry85
Match Day 32
Mainz 05 vs RasenBallsport Leipzig
Sunday, April 29th, 2018
22:30 pm (GMT+8 Timing)
Stadium: Opel Arena

Mainz 05: 
Last five matches form: L D D W L
Average goals per match: 1.03
Average goals against per match: 1.58
Top Scorer: Yoshinori Muto (7)

RasenBallsport Leipzig:
Last five matches form: W L L D L
Average goals per match: 1.52
Average goals against per match: 1.52
Top Scorer: Timo Werner (11)

A big one at the Opel Arena on Match Day 32, with plenty on the line for both hosts Mainz 05 and RasenBallsport Leipzig.

For the hosts it is survival which is the name of the game. Tied with third bottom Freiburg on 30 points, it is only goal difference which is keeping Sandro Schwarz's men out of the mire at present. Leon Balogun and Suat Serdar are the hosts main concerns ahead of this tie, although neither have been ruled out yet.

Having been chasing Champions League football for much of this campaign, the wheels seem to have well and truly come off for Leipzig, to the extent that they are now clinging on to the last of the Europa League spots. Only one point above seventh placed Eintracht Frankfurt, they will surely be looking at this as a game where they should expect to pick up three points. They won't be at full strength here though. Left back Marcel Halstenberg misses out, as do key attacking midfielders, Marcel Sabitzer and Emil Forsberg.

The absence of Sabitzer and Forsberg looks a big blow for Leipzig here, and whilst they still have the better side on paper, it's also concerning that they have shipped ten goals in their past three Bundesliga outings. Mainz need the three points badly here, and they may just get them.

Prediction: Mainz 05 2 - 0 RasenBallsport Leipzig


Half time: 1 - 0
Full time: 3 - 0
Shots: 16 - 6
Shots on target: 9 - 1
Corner Kicks: 7 - 8
Possession: 39% - 62%

Bastian Dankert booked Stefan Bell and Alexandru Maxim for the home side. Leipzig had Yussuf Poulsen and Willi Orban shown yellow, whilst Naby Keita was sent off for two bookable offences late on.

Leipzig bossed possession, but its often not how much of the ball you have, but what you do with it that counts. Having resoundingly won the total shots and shots on target count, Mainz ran out thoroughly deserving winners in the end.

Leipzig's latest implosion began in the 29th minute. Dayot Upamecano bringing down Yoshinori Ito in the area to give away a penalty kick. Peter Gulaci got something on Pablo De Blasis's strike but couldn't keep it out. 1-0 at the break.

Mainz did have to wait a long time to put the game to bed, but the second finally arrived in the 85th minute. Gerrit Holman's low cross from the left being deflected back into the path of Alexandru Maxim around the penalty spot. Excellent finish from Maxim into the left-hand side of the goal

Still time for one more. Daniel Brosinski playing in Bote Baku in the right-hand side of the box. Baku supplying a cool side footed finish into the bottom left corner.

It was all too much for Keita by this stage who was sent off for a second booking soon after. That may just be the last time we see him in a Leipzig shirt.

A big win for Mainz this one. They aren't out of trouble at the bottom just yet, but this victory lifts them to 14th and three points clear of the drop zone with just two games to play.

Leipzig meanwhile continue to implode. It had looked as though the only way was up following their victory over Bayern Munich, instead they have won just one in six since and been dumped out of the Europa League. Just a point ahead of Eintracht Frankfurt in the battle for the final Europa League spot, they are in real danger of missing out on Europe entirely this year.

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