Preview - Poland vs Italy 14 October 18

Started by Harry85, Oct 14, 2018, 01:32 AM

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Uefa Nations League A Group 3
Poland vs Italy
Monday, September 15th, 2018
03:45am (GMT +8 Timing)
Stadium: Silesian Stadium

Last five matches form: L W D D L
Average goals per match (last ten games): 1.50
Average goals against per match (last ten games): 1.50
Top Scorer: Robert Lewandowski (55)

Last five matches form: L D D L D
Average goals per match (last ten games): 0.70
Average goals against per match (last ten games): 1.20
Top Scorer: Giorgio Chiellini ( 8 )

Poland and Italy meet for the second time in the UEFA Nations league this weekend as the two sides continue to look to progress under their new coaches.

That first game in Italy ended in a 1-1 draw which was probably just about a fair reflection of the game overall. With both sides having also lost their other group game so far to Portugal, they both really need to be going for the three points in this one.

Poland had been in decent heart headed into the World Cup Finals, but disappointed in the end, leading to a coaching overhaul. The signs in the games since the showpiece in Russia haven't been all that encouraging, although their only defeat in three has come against European Champions Portugal.

Italy are now winless in their past five games, and whilst some of their fixtures have been pretty tough, they were frankly awful against Portugal and not all that much better when drawing with Ukraine in a friendly last time out.

Two sides going through something of a transitional period here, but for us it is Poland who have shown that little bit more of late and may just be a step ahead of traditional powerhouse Italy. In Robert Lewandowski they also have the single most dangerous player on the field. We will take a narrow home win in this one.

Prediction: Poland 2 - 1 Italy


Half time: 0 - 0
Full time: 0 - 1
Shots:  6 - 11
Shots on target: 3 - 5
Corner Kicks: 1 - 8
Possession: 34% - 66%

Just the one booking in this one with referee Damir Skomina taking the name of Jorginho of Italy.

Italy badly needed a response following their opening defeat in this group to Portugal - which was one of the most inept displays from an Italian national side we have seen in some time. Credit to Roberto Mancini and his players though, the work they have been putting in has clearly paid off at least to some degree as this was much better against a decent Poland outfit. Dominant in possession and on the shot count, they did deserve to win this one, for all that they left it very late in the end.

A second home defeat in succession for Poland who really seem to be struggling to build up any kind of momentum. Italy can be an excellent defensive side when in this sort of mood, but only three shots on target in a home game was nevertheless disappointing.

Jorginho came close to breaking the deadlock in the opening period when curling in a lovely effort from just outside the area, only to see his shot come back off the crossbar. Not long after, Lorenzo Insigne also rattled the bar when volleying on the stretch as a cross came in from the right.

Federico Bernadeschi really should have broken the deadlock in the second half when picked out by Federico Chiesa in the area, only to plant his header wide of the goal.

Poland then nearly took the lead when hitting on the counter. Kamil Grosicki hit the keeper with his effort though and Arkadiusz Milik could only blaze the rebound into the stands.

Italy snatched it in the second minute of stoppage time. A corner to the near post from the right being flicked on to the far post by Kevin Lasagna and Cristiano Biraghi sliding in to finish from point blank range. 0-1 final score.

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